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  • Aggregated nonlinear criterion for assessing software reliability

    The paper discusses a method for constructing a nonlinear software reliability efficiency function. The proposed algorithm is based on the use of information about the values ​​of reliability criteria, as well as some expert judgments. This approach differs significantly from previously proposed models for assessing software reliability, which are based on a probabilistic approach. In the proposed method, in addition to objective information, subjective expert assessments are taken into account, which allows for a more flexible assessment of the reliability of software products.

    Keywords: software reliability, probabilistic models, statistical models, partial performance criteria, linear programming, vector optimization, decision theory

  • Nonlinear regression model of functioning mining and metallurgical company

    The paper describes a multifactorial nonlinear regression model of revenue dynamics of the mining and metallurgical company Severstal, based on retrospective information for 2009-2021. Production volumes by type were used as independent variables: hot-rolled and cold-rolled sheet, galvanized sheet and sheet with other metal coating, rolled products, large diameter pipes, other pipe products and profiles. The criteria of multiple definition and Fisher, as well as the average absolute approximation error, were used as criteria for the adequacy of the model. A model competition was held to select the best regression dependence. As a result, a model is constructed containing inverse transformations of two independent variables in the right part.

    Keywords: regression model, least squares method, adequacy criteria, mining and metallurgical company, revenue, model competition

  • Development of a tool for visualizing data on site user activity

    One of the most important points in increasing the conversion component of a web resource is identifying the most attractive places for the site user. To identify these locations, a site user activity data visualization tool was created that provides a visual representation of each user action on a site page.

    Keywords: heat map, site, oculograph, fixation, priority area

  • Forecasting flood inundations on the rivers of Siberia using the example of forecasting the water level in the Iya River (Eastern Siberia) based on a multifactor regression model

    In the work, based on the previously constructed multifactor dynamic regression model of water level in the Iya River (Eastern Siberia), the authors forecast this indicator for June 2023 in three options: pessimistic, optimistic and neutral (base). A comparison of the forecasting results with the actual value of the water level confirmed the high adequacy of the model and good prospects for its future successful use to solve a wide range of applied and practical problems.

    Keywords: regression model, river water level, lag time, seasonal variable, forecast, adequacy, criteria

  • Investigation of the properties of metals during impact indentation using neural network analysis

    Indentation is a universal and practical method for obtaining material characteristics, especially when it is impossible or difficult to expose the material to other measuring methods. Experimental data on the mechanical properties of various types of materials were obtained using the shock loading unit. A mathematical model based on the finite element method was used to verify the experimental results. The article considers the solution of the problem of classification of neural metals with different mechanical properties. As part of the work, an artificial neural network has been created that allows the distribution of materials into selected groups. It is determined that a significant advantage of using neural networks is the ability to process experimental data and identify complex nonlinear dependencies, which makes them in demand in tasks related to the study of material properties.

    Keywords: impact indentation, neural network, task of classification, artificial intelligence, dynamic indentation, non-destructive testing.

  • A comparison of machine learning libraries for introducing artificial intelligence into CRM system

    This paper analyzes the performance of solving the classification problem using various open-source artificial intelligence and machine learning libraries in the field of marketing and customer relationship management; based on the results of experiments, the best library is selected for the purpose of introducing artificial intelligence into domestic CRM systems based on numerical performance indicators.

    Keywords: artificial intelligence, machine learning, big data, classification, marketing, customer relationship management, import substitution, open source

  • Selecting a converter of aerodynamic forces and moments into the trajectory of motion for Simulink flight models of aircraft

    The article explores the problem of creating aircraft flight models in the Simulink environment. The reference systems in which transformations are carried out are considered. The equations of motion used in the simplest converters are given. The initial conditions for the equations are determined: the speed of the body, the angular orientation of the body's pitch position, the angle between the velocity vector and the body, the speed of rotation of the body, the initial position, the mass and inertia of the body, the source of gravity, the acceleration due to gravity, the curb and total mass of the body, speed of air flow, inertia of an empty and full body, flight trajectory, etc. An analysis of converters of aerodynamic forces and moments into the trajectory of motion as part of an aerospace package in the Simulink environment was carried out. Recommendations are given for their use for various modeling purposes. The results of modeling a simple converter with three degrees of freedom are presented.

    Keywords: modeling, MatLab, Simulink, equations of motion, aerodynamic torque, flight path, coordinate transformations, reference system, degrees of freedom

  • Investigation of the influence of wind on the flight path in a Simulink model of a lightweight aircraft

    A Simulink model of a lightweight aircraft is being studied as part of the Aerospace Blockset package, including a system model of the aircraft, an environmental model, a model of pilot influences, and a visualization block. The structure of the flight model is considered and models of the effects of the environment and wind are disclosed in detail, consisting of blocks of physical terrain features, wind models and an atmospheric model, a gravity model, each of which is set to an altitude. The Wind Shear Model block calculates the amount of wind shear as a function of altitude and measured speed wind. The Discrete Wind Gust Model block determines the resulting wind speed as a function of the distance traveled, the amplitude and length of the gust. The turbulence equations comply with the MIL-F-8785C specification, which describes turbulence as a random process determined by velocity spectra. Simulation results are presented that reflect changes in the trajectory of movement under various wind influences specified in the wind speed gradient block.

    Keywords: modeling, airplane flight, Simulink, Aerospace Blockset, crosswind, turbulence, turbulence equations, gravity model, motion trajectory

  • Simplex methods for optimizing the composition of composite building materials

    The article discusses the use of simplex methods of experiment planning to determine the optimal composition of composite building materials. Composite building materials are multicomponent systems, so their properties depend on a large number of factors that are diverse in nature and influence. The use of orthogonal plans is not able to adequately describe experimental data with a wide range of varying factors. Therefore, the article proposes to use simplex-lattice Scheffe's plans. A complete third-order model was developed to determine the optimal composition of the filled cement composite, and a regression equation was written. The adequacy of the equation was confirmed at the control points of the plan using the Student's criterion. The proposed planning method can be used to optimize the composition of multicomponent systems.

    Keywords: multicomponent system, optimization methods, composite building material, experiment planning, simplex plans, Scheffe's polynomial, regression equation

  • Mathematical modeling of the motion of a planning body of complex configuration

    motion of the body are obtained, which can only be solved numerically. The equilibrium equations are solved and the basic stationary modes of body motion are obtained. The main result is the most gentle body planning mode. In the matlab computer mathematics system, a set of programs is written that searches for a numerical solution and outputs trajectories. The movement of the modes under consideration is modeled and the stability of the main modes is looked at using numerical calculations.

    Keywords: body, planning mode, stability, geometric dimensions

  • Analysis of standard models of titanium oxide-based memristors for use in artificial intelligence systems

    The article discusses standard models of titanium dioxide-based memristors. A memristor is similar to a memory resistor and demonstrates a nonlinear resistance characteristic in which the charge parameter is a state variable. They can be used to create new types of electronic devices with high energy efficiency and performance, as well as to create machines that can learn and adapt to changing environmental conditions and in many practical applications: data storage memory (binary and multilevel), switches in logical electronic circuits, plastic components in neuromorphic artificial systems intelligence based on nanoelectronic components. It has been shown that when voltage is applied to charged ions, they begin to drift, and the boundary between the two regions shifts. When a sinusoidal alternating voltage of a given frequency is applied to the memristor, the shape of the volt-ampere characteristic (VAC) resembles a Lissajous diagram centered at the origin.

    Keywords: memristor, model, voltage characteristic, nonlinearity

  • Empirical analysis of the predictive properties of the continuous form of the maximum consistency method

    The article studies the possibility of using the continuous form of the maximum consistency method when constructing regression models to calculate the forecast values of the air transport passenger turnover indicator in the Russian Federation. The method under study is compared with classical methods of regression analysis - least squares and moduli. To assess the predictive properties of the methods, the average relative forecast error and the continuous form of the criterion for the consistency of behavior between the calculated and actual values of the dependent variable are used. As a result of the analysis, a conclusion was made about the possibility of using the method under study to solve forecast problems.

    Keywords: least squares method, continuous form of the maximum consistency method, modeling, passenger turnover, air transport, adequacy criteria

  • A website for debugging of robots artificial intelligence technologies

    The article presents the state of technology of websites for designing robots with artificial intelligence. The image of a modern technical site-book as a place for the development of artificial intelligence applications is considered, the possibility of executing algorithms from the page to ensure the connection of robots with real and virtual objects is shown.

    Keywords: mathematical network, technical website-book, artificial intelligence, algorithms executed on the website-book, network development of robots

  • Development of a mathematical model and a software package for automating scientific research in the field of financial industry news analysis

    The article is devoted to the development of a mathematical model and a software package designed to automate scientific research in the field of financial industry news analysis. The authors propose an approach based on the use of graph theory methods to identify the most significant scientific hypotheses, the methods used, as well as the obtained qualitative and quantitative results of the scientific community in this field. The proposed model and software package make it possible to automate the process of scientific research, which contributes to a more effective analysis of it. The research results can be useful both for professional participants in financial markets and for the academic community, since the identification of the most cited and fundamental works serves as the starting point of any scientific work.

    Keywords: software package, modeling, graph theory, news streams, Russian stock market, stocks, citation graph

  • Developing a Piecewise Linear Regression Model for a Steel Company Using Continuous Form of Maximum Consistency Method

    The paper presents a brief overview of publications describing the experience of using mathematical modeling methods to solve various problems. A multivariate piecewise linear regression model of a steel company was built using the continuous form of the maximum consistency method. To assess the adequacy of the model, the following criteria were used: average relative error of approximation, continuous criterion of consistency of behavior, sum of modules of approximation errors. It is concluded that the resulting model has sufficient accuracy and can be used for forecasting.

    Keywords: mathematical modeling, piecewise linear regression, least modulus method, continuous form of maximum consistency method, steel company

  • Development of a behavior pattern for a game bot with artificial intelligence elements based on Markov chains

    The subject of this article is the development of a behavior pattern with AI elements for an opponent bot in the single-player game Steal Tower. The essence of which is to collect resources to build a tower faster than opponents. To create the illusion that the same people are playing against the player, an imitation stochastic model based on the Monte Carlo method for Markov chains has been developed. Based on the results of its tests, balanced system parameters were determined, which are embedded in the behavioral pattern of the bot, which is implemented using the Enum AIStates enumeration consisting of five states: Idle (inactivity), GoTo (movement) and GoToWarehouse (return to the warehouse), Win (victory), Loose (scoring). Each of them has developed functions for the optimal behavior of the bot given in the article. So for the GoTo state, functions have been created that analyze the benefits of different types of behavior: steal or collect, or walk to the warehouse or to the tower.

    Keywords: game intelligence, behavioral pattern, live world emulation, bot behavior scenario, state structure, Markov chains, Monte Carlo method, simulation model, Unity environment, C# language

  • Comparison of results of analytical and simulation modelling of the process of selective assembly of two elements taking into account measurement errors during sorting

    The validity of analytical models of the process of one-parameter selective assembly of two elements was evaluated by comparison with the results of simulation modelling. A series of machine experiments including one-factor and two-factor experiments were carried out. At the accepted levels of variation of factors, the confidence interval of the probability of yield of good products from the initial population of elements that did not pass sorting was determined using Student's criterion at the given level of significance and number of degrees of freedom. Comparison of the simulation results revealed the facts of reaching the specified process indicator, determined by the analytical model, for all experiments within the confidence intervals and the presence of relatively small deviations from their centres.

    Keywords: selective assembly, analytical model, simulation model, measurement error, simulation results

  • Development of a numerical method for assessing the energy requirements for airborne radars for weather navigation in polar latitudes

    A new numerical method for calculating weather conditions has been developed for airborne radar systems for Arctic purposes. Based on the numerical method obtained in the study, software was developed that takes into account various models of electromagnetic wave propagation in various weather conditions. The results of calculations for estimating the detection range of dangerous weather conditions are presented. This assessment indicates that the threshold for detecting adverse weather conditions can be reduced. The basis for lowering the threshold without deteriorating the resulting probabilities of correct detection and false alarm is the fact that the occurrence of cases of false detection is possible only when a certain total extent of difficult weather conditions is reached, which can already be considered dangerous for the flight. The features of the formation of reflected signals from Arctic rain clouds, turbulence over a snowy desert and wind shear are considered. It is shown that all of them are characterized by lower radar reflectivity, therefore the resulting detection ranges are less than those that can be obtained at more southern latitudes, but at the same time they are sufficient for the navigation of UAVs or small aircraft.

    Keywords: airborne radar, numerical methods for assessing weather conditions, weather navigation in polar latitudes, UAV navigation, hazardous weather formation

  • Reliability Model of RAID-60 Disk Arrays

    The general characteristics of the innovative RAID-60 data storage system, which combines the best aspects of RAID-6 and RAID-0E technologies, as well as the reliability model of this data storage sys-tem, are presented. The main purpose of this connection is to provide outstanding performance with maximum data redundancy. The arti-cle discusses in detail the structural analysis, advantages and various scenarios for the use of the specified RAID-60 data storage system and the proposed model of its reliability. An important aspect is also the comparison of the RAID-60 system with other widespread vari-ants of data storage systems, such as RAID-0, RAID-1 and RAID-5, as well as with the reliability models of these systems. Particular at-tention is paid to the formula that allows you to calculate the average operating time to failure of a disk array. Also, for completeness of the analysis, attention is paid to plotting the probability of a RAID-60 failure (P(t)) over time (t). This graph is an important tool for visu-alizing the dynamics of reliability of data storage systems.

    Keywords: RAID-60, reliability, disk array, data redundancy, manufacturer, parity blocks, data storage

  • Use of the space partitioning algorithms in the problems of computation geometry

    Algorithms and structures of spatial partitioning kd-tree, BVH are considered and studied in relation to the problem of modeling the flow of air around a body of complex shape. The use of these algorithms makes it possible to significantly reduce the computation time when searching for collisions of air particles with each other and with a streamlined body.

    Keywords: collision detection, computational geometry, data structures and algorithms, kd-tree, BVH

  • Modeling of object state estimation based on queries with fuzzy conditions

    The paper offers one of the variants of construction and use of fuzzy query mechanism for modeling of telecommunication network state estimation. The modular architecture of the application is considered in detail, the logic of calculating the degrees of belongingness to each term of the selected linguistic variables is described, the stages of the algorithm of work with the mechanism of fuzzy queries are given.

    Keywords: fuzzy query, search, membership function parameters, state estimation modeling, database, knowledge, fuzzy classification

  • Modeling of automated monitoring systems

    The article presents a set-theoretic model that generalizes the concept of a monitoring system. The model is a tuple that includes a monitoring object, the infrastructure of the monitoring system, initial data and monitoring results, and a set of relationships between the components of the model. Each component of the model is detailed at 1-2 levels of detail. For some elements of the model, examples from existing monitoring systems are given. The model can be used to create new or modify existing monitoring systems.

    Keywords: monitoring system, monitoring object, set-theoretic model, tuple, data processing, infrastructure, sensor, software

  • Numerical analysis of connections of steel structure elements

    The practical significance associated with the development of automated software systems for calculating joints of steel structures of buildings and structures is noted. Using the IDEA Statica software package as an example, the calculation and analysis of the operation of a steel unit connecting the lower chord of a truss to a column was carried out. The order and sequence of entering the initial data for calculating the connection is shown. The calculation results present in tabular and graphical forms the equivalent stresses and plastic deformations of the main elements, as well as the results of inspections of bolted and welded connections of these elements to each other. A comparative analysis of numerical and analytical calculations was performed. Conclusions are formulated based on the results presented in the article.

    Keywords: calculation model, connections, steel structures, component finite element method, design, nonlinear analysis, work analysis, stress, plastic deformation, bolted connection, welded connection

  • Visualization of scientific data using interpolation methods and the NVIDIA IndeX plugin in the ParaView software

    The paper presents a solution to the problem of accelerating the process of visualizing the results of numerical simulation. The volumes of such data can be very large and the development of tools to speed up the process of analyzing modeling results is an urgent task. This article proposes a solution to the problem based on the development of a set of programs that automate the process of processing large-volume scientific data of the same type to create high-quality visualizations of the results of numerical modeling. The results are presented using the example of solving problems in astrophysics, but the proposed methodology can be quite easily applied to other subject areas in which models based on the dynamics of particle systems are used. The research described in the work is devoted to solving issues related to converting data obtained from numerical modeling into a format that can be read by the ParaView softwart, which implements many methods that allow obtaining very high-quality visualization. The work also describes the process of automating batch processing of a large amount of data that has the same structure, presents the results of an analysis of the acceleration of the visualization process when using the NVIDIA IndeX plug-in, and considers the possibility of improving the quality of visualization results when applying Delaunay triangulation to the original data.

    Keywords: data visualization, Delaunay triangulation, rendering acceleration, ParaView, NVIDIA IndeX, VTK

  • Localization of round objects in images using fast radial symmetry transform

    Currently, there is an increase in the number of scientific papers on models, methods and software and hardware for image processing and analysis. This is due to the widespread introduction of computer vision technologies into information processing and control systems. At the same time, approaches that provide fast image processing in real time using limited computing resources are relevant. Such approaches are usually based on low-level image filtering algorithms. One of the tasks to be solved in computer vision-based systems is the localization of round objects. These objects have the property of radial symmetry. Therefore, the approach based on the Fast Radial Symmetry Transform, which is considered in this paper, is effective for solving this problem. The paper describes the basic steps of the basic transformation, provides a procedure for determining the centers of radially symmetric areas for localization of round objects in images, and discusses examples of its application.

    Keywords: computer vision, image processing, image analysis, localization of objects, methods of localization of round objects, fast radial symmetry transf, detecion of the centers of radially symmetric areas