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  • Forecasting federal tax revenue and fees using econometric modeling

    The article considers the problem of economic forecasting of the volume of federal taxes and fees by the example of the Southern Federal District. To make a forecast, an econometric model was constructed with the introduction of dummy variables.The main objective of the study is the implementation of a short-term forecast using an econometric model. According to data from 01/01/2018 to 03/31/2020. an economic forecast of federal tax revenues was made and for the next two months.In conclusion, the proposed forecasting technique has such advantages as efficiency and simplicity.

    Keywords: taxes, fees, forecasting, federal budget revenues, budget system, multiplicative model, dummy variables