A multilevel model of latent conflict potential student RGSU (by mid 2014)
Abstract
A multilevel model of latent conflict potential student RGSU (by mid 2014)
Incoming article date: 30.03.2016It is given the interpretation of the primary parameters of conflict obtained by survey (137 people). The studied audience was typical for undergraduate students on basic social characteristics. In the questionnaire the various parties to the cognitive perception of the political order were identified by direct survey. And the emotional relationship to local and Central government were obtained on the technology of semantic differential. The model is based on the results of the parallel hierarchical factorization cognitive components. On the first level 14 of the primary signs reduced to five factors. They characterize the socio-political expectations, declared and real political activity, evaluating the legitimacy of authorities and political situation. These indexes, in turn, on the second level are combined into two independent factors: General cognitive activity and perception of political orders. In the model the indices of the affective perception of these orders (calculated on the basis of the affective section of the questionnaire) were added to them. Two-dimensional histogram of the distribution component matrix for the respondents shows that the subgroup with both highly negative emotional perception and political activity is low (for example, a value of the first parameter -0.4 and below, and the second 0.4 and above is characterized by only 4% of respondents). These respondents represent a risk for the possibility of forming protests.
Keywords: questioning, cognitive component, semantic differential, conflicts, parallel hierarchical factorization, the affective component, matrix, distribution function, multivariate analysis