Development of a model of passenger flow movement that is suitable for identifying hidden patterns in the processes of passenger flow creation

Abstract

Development of a model of passenger flow movement that is suitable for identifying hidden patterns in the processes of passenger flow creation

Krushel E. G., Ogar T. P., PanfilovA. E., Stepanchenko I. V., Stepanchenko O. V., Kharitonov I. M.

Incoming article date: 03.12.2020

A model of passenger traffic movement is proposed that is suitable for identifying hidden patterns in the processes of passenger flow creation. The passenger flow is divided into four components, for which separate passenger flow submodels are developed: quasi-deterministic passenger flow from leaving stops to points of mass attraction of passengers; stochastic hourly passenger flow from each arrival stop to different districts of the city; stochastic flow that models the distribution of passengers between final stops in accordance with the degree of popularity of stops; chaotic distribution of passenger traffic between stops with a small number of daily visits. The results of calculations of the quasi-deterministic passenger traffic submodel from leaving stops to points of mass passenger attraction are estimated.

Keywords: passenger transport, passenger traffic models, passenger behavior patterns, modeling