Analysis of the efficiency of regional energy development based on the scenario approach

Abstract

Analysis of the efficiency of regional energy development based on the scenario approach

Debiev M.V.

Incoming article date: 28.09.2017

The article considers the problem of forming possible variants of the development efficiency of the energy industry in the region (on the example of the Chechen Republic). On the basis of system analysis, a diagram of possible ways of energy development is formed, where a scenario approach is taken, suggesting the formation of many possible options for the development of regional energy with quantitative assessments of risks and the results of possible outcomes. A graph of possible scenarios for the development of the industry has been constructed, in which the probabilities of the development of individual energy companies, and, together with them, of the whole industry in the corresponding areas, are weighed.

Keywords: analysis, scenario diagram, energy sector, distribution, negative consequences, graph of scenarios